Muskoka Cottage Market Data
Waterfront freehold detached properties, quarterly, Q1 2010 through Q3 2026. The same figures behind the Muskoka Cottage Forecaster™ signal.
Reading the Muskoka Median
Muskoka's quarterly median moves more than the other regions we track, and the reason is structural rather than a data problem. Volumes are low — Q1 2026 recorded 23 sales — and the market spans everything from modest back-lot waterfront to eight-figure estates. A handful of high-end closings in a quiet quarter pulls the median several hundred thousand dollars. Q2 2026 came in at $1,181,326 and July at $1,415,000; neither is a market-wide move of that size.
Average price makes the point plainly. In Q3 2026 the median is $1,415,000 while the average is $2,114,924 — a gap of roughly $700,000, wider than the entire median price of Kawartha Lakes. Read the twelve-month trend and months of inventory for direction, and treat any single quarter's median as a snapshot of what happened to sell.
Quarterly History
Full quarterly record, all price points combined. This is a published market report, not a data export or download.
| Quarter | Sales | New Listings | Avg Active | Avg MOI | Median Price | Average Price | Median DOM | Sales-to-New | Sale-to-List |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 (partial — 1 mo) | 66 | 190 | 527 | 8.23 | $1,415,000 | $2,114,924 | 26 | 35% | 95% |
| Q2 2026 | 129 | 577 | 380 | 10.00 | $1,181,326 | $1,830,028 | 19 | 22% | 95% |
| Q1 2026 | 23 | 150 | 136 | 17.48 | $1,254,087 | $1,643,174 | 69 | 15% | 94% |
| Q4 2025 | 79 | 131 | 206 | 10.48 | $1,075,696 | $1,622,934 | 50 | 60% | 94% |
| Q3 2025 | 202 | 417 | 457 | 6.90 | $1,064,713 | $1,693,567 | 37 | 48% | 95% |
| Q2 2025 | 126 | 509 | 349 | 9.31 | $1,391,429 | $2,072,680 | 19 | 25% | 95% |
| Q1 2025 | 25 | 170 | 123 | 14.42 | $1,468,760 | $1,602,740 | 61 | 15% | 97% |
| Q4 2024 | 85 | 102 | 159 | 6.89 | $1,206,647 | $1,644,745 | 75 | 83% | 94% |
| Q3 2024 | 159 | 387 | 383 | 8.10 | $1,050,629 | $1,774,934 | 45 | 41% | 94% |
| Q2 2024 | 152 | 537 | 306 | 6.01 | $1,414,145 | $1,922,939 | 24 | 28% | 96% |
| Q1 2024 | 43 | 230 | 83 | 5.24 | $1,197,326 | $1,381,245 | 21 | 19% | 95% |
| Q4 2023 | 62 | 92 | 107 | 5.62 | $1,174,887 | $1,588,176 | 54 | 67% | 95% |
| Q3 2023 | 136 | 361 | 269 | 6.07 | $1,249,110 | $1,762,170 | 36 | 38% | 95% |
| Q2 2023 | 169 | 425 | 194 | 3.74 | $1,227,811 | $2,000,791 | 22 | 40% | 97% |
| Q1 2023 | 49 | 148 | 92 | 5.86 | $1,219,694 | $1,473,759 | 41 | 33% | 93% |
| Q4 2022 | 71 | 126 | 105 | 7.66 | $1,028,380 | $1,445,214 | 31 | 56% | 94% |
| Q3 2022 | 178 | 335 | 205 | 3.53 | $1,123,900 | $1,545,212 | 26 | 53% | 95% |
| Q2 2022 | 148 | 430 | 142 | 2.92 | $1,263,377 | $2,261,734 | 12 | 34% | 101% |
| Q1 2022 | 74 | 102 | 36 | 2.01 | $1,367,757 | $1,642,527 | 17 | 73% | 104% |
| Q4 2021 | 118 | 120 | 81 | 2.17 | $1,074,110 | $1,417,879 | 27 | 98% | 101% |
| Q3 2021 | 269 | 337 | 168 | 1.92 | $1,165,494 | $1,801,870 | 15 | 80% | 104% |
| Q2 2021 | 274 | 428 | 132 | 1.45 | $1,138,358 | $1,571,706 | 11 | 64% | 111% |
| Q1 2021 | 125 | 176 | 46 | 1.12 | $1,055,904 | $1,491,286 | 10 | 71% | 111% |
| Q4 2020 | 188 | 132 | 75 | 1.35 | $890,793 | $1,424,310 | 26 | 142% | 101% |
| Q3 2020 | 412 | 397 | 190 | 1.40 | $880,862 | $1,352,925 | 28 | 104% | 99% |
| Q2 2020 | 262 | 390 | 237 | 4.67 | $810,701 | $1,230,461 | 21 | 67% | 97% |
| Q1 2020 | 42 | 166 | 137 | 11.96 | $696,321 | $892,807 | 53 | 25% | 95% |
| Q4 2019 | 116 | 117 | 177 | 5.04 | $651,181 | $1,100,926 | 53 | 99% | 95% |
| Q3 2019 | 280 | 440 | 399 | 4.33 | $725,671 | $1,155,410 | 38 | 64% | 96% |
| Q2 2019 | 172 | 474 | 285 | 5.28 | $728,634 | $1,017,658 | 20 | 36% | 97% |
| Q1 2019 | 33 | 156 | 117 | 10.44 | $680,662 | $977,491 | 48 | 21% | 97% |
| Q4 2018 | 90 | 95 | 160 | 6.33 | $593,694 | $870,323 | 70 | 95% | 95% |
| Q3 2018 | 260 | 346 | 342 | 3.97 | $710,920 | $1,029,564 | 43 | 75% | 96% |
| Q2 2018 | 194 | 435 | 279 | 4.52 | $775,263 | $961,280 | 25 | 45% | 97% |
| Q1 2018 | 42 | 192 | 107 | 8.55 | $673,429 | $895,933 | 32 | 22% | 97% |
| Q4 2017 | 35 | 52 | 77 | 7.01 | $534,951 | $776,709 | 51 | 67% | 96% |
| Q3 2017 | 74 | 132 | 115 | 4.82 | $584,715 | $839,997 | 41 | 56% | 96% |
| Q2 2017 | 81 | 148 | 93 | 3.53 | $599,691 | $707,490 | 22 | 55% | 99% |
| Q1 2017 | 29 | 69 | 48 | 6.80 | $606,545 | $612,897 | 23 | 42% | 97% |
| Q4 2016 | 48 | 54 | 70 | 5.05 | $578,125 | $714,448 | 53 | 89% | 96% |
| Q3 2016 | 100 | 110 | 133 | 4.01 | $544,462 | $774,680 | 62 | 91% | 95% |
| Q2 2016 | 96 | 171 | 148 | 4.76 | $542,760 | $584,614 | 31 | 56% | 97% |
| Q1 2016 | 28 | 105 | 89 | 13.89 | $447,428 | $775,897 | 53 | 27% | 96% |
| Q4 2015 | 45 | 48 | 113 | 7.52 | $395,200 | $564,196 | 114 | 94% | 92% |
| Q3 2015 | 76 | 127 | 215 | 8.77 | $402,763 | $521,112 | 83 | 60% | 95% |
| Q2 2015 | 76 | 208 | 190 | 7.70 | $494,342 | $620,963 | 36 | 37% | 96% |
| Q1 2015 | 24 | 99 | 110 | 13.83 | $464,062 | $580,937 | 137 | 24% | 94% |
| Q4 2014 | 50 | 51 | 132 | 9.27 | $516,600 | $728,160 | 87 | 98% | 94% |
| Q3 2014 | 70 | 152 | 248 | 11.00 | $478,129 | $600,803 | 62 | 46% | 95% |
| Q2 2014 | 52 | 209 | 206 | 12.36 | $435,327 | $549,365 | 54 | 25% | 95% |
| Q1 2014 | 18 | 117 | 103 | 37.07 | $330,000 | $418,347 | 56 | 15% | 96% |
| Q4 2013 | 31 | 52 | 121 | 12.69 | $444,677 | $537,017 | 117 | 60% | 94% |
| Q3 2013 | 77 | 136 | 236 | 9.32 | $455,568 | $536,471 | 76 | 57% | 90% |
| Q2 2013 | 53 | 172 | 217 | 12.76 | $422,170 | $523,781 | 62 | 31% | 93% |
| Q1 2013 | 18 | 118 | 116 | 22.24 | $445,250 | $743,861 | 44 | 15% | 94% |
| Q4 2012 | 32 | 44 | 117 | 11.27 | $406,812 | $506,828 | 130 | 73% | 92% |
| Q3 2012 | 54 | 107 | 207 | 11.87 | $412,130 | $522,322 | 105 | 50% | 95% |
| Q2 2012 | 57 | 165 | 202 | 11.13 | $406,491 | $596,954 | 50 | 35% | 94% |
| Q1 2012 | 17 | 111 | 118 | 25.21 | $386,471 | $438,765 | 76 | 15% | 95% |
| Q4 2011 | 33 | 46 | 122 | 11.64 | $398,727 | $425,037 | 105 | 72% | 95% |
| Q3 2011 | 68 | 124 | 233 | 10.70 | $422,301 | $459,826 | 88 | 55% | 95% |
| Q2 2011 | 48 | 188 | 206 | 13.88 | $439,375 | $525,006 | 70 | 26% | 94% |
| Q1 2011 | 25 | 101 | 101 | 12.15 | $456,792 | $507,459 | 70 | 25% | 95% |
| Q4 2010 | 23 | 38 | 103 | 15.67 | $388,522 | $432,761 | 122 | 61% | 92% |
| Q3 2010 | 46 | 84 | 180 | 12.63 | $410,652 | $452,804 | 65 | 55% | 94% |
| Q2 2010 | 53 | 142 | 173 | 9.82 | $375,377 | $472,654 | 49 | 37% | 95% |
| Q1 2010 | 12 | 108 | 88 | 23.06 | $378,150 | $465,492 | 55 | 11% | 99% |
How Muskoka Compares
All five series, same filter, same source, same quarter.
Muskoka is the most expensive of the five markets and among the slowest moving. At $1,415,000 the median is roughly 80% above the provincial figure, and at 11.3 months the inventory is second-heaviest behind Kawartha Lakes. Parry Sound sits directly next door at $825,000 with a twelve-month trend of +4.5% against Muskoka's -7.5%, which is worth knowing if a buyer's search area is flexible.
Active listings in Q3 2026 stand at 527, the highest reading anywhere in this sixteen-year record — above even the 2019 pre-pandemic peak of 399. Supply, not price, is the number moving fastest here.
| Region | Median Price | 12-mo Price Trend | Inventory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ontario | $785,000 | -3.1% | 10.1 mo |
| Muskoka (this page) | $1,415,000 | -7.5% | 11.3 mo |
| Parry Sound | $825,000 | +4.5% | 10.2 mo |
| Haliburton | $882,500 | +5.0% | 7.3 mo |
| Kawartha Lakes | $750,500 | -11.6% | 11.8 mo |
How to Verify This
Data is compiled by Habistat Analytics, accessed via the real estate boards, filtered to detached, freehold, waterfront properties only. Every board is a real, independently-operating association confirmable directly. See the full methodology and board list, or read the current directional call in the Ontario Cottage Market Forecaster™.